La economía que viene: rodillo y bastonazos

untitled2Lo dice en firme Mariano Rajoy. Es el presidente del gobierno el que ha reventado la negociación con los empresarios que teóricamente estaba diseñada para terminar firmando un acuerdo que nos empuje del fondo del pozo y nos saque del pozo.

Lo que vamos a ver desde ya que va a ser, en materia económica, y por parte de Zapatero, el impulso de la política de rodillo y bastonazo: rodillo por el paquete de nuevas medidas económicas que va a impulsar unilateralmente, sin contar con nadie; bastonazo el que van a recibir aquellos que le pidan al presidente del gobierno que les escuche, que les atienda. A base de buscar la foto no se puede funcionar. A base de malos humos, tampoco. De malas políticas, menos todavía.

Obama Hits Reality

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Gibraltar: buenismo/rendición made in Zapatero

untitled1Zapatero anuncia y Moratinos sienta las bases de un tiempo nuevo con Gibraltar, de una política no de desistimiento completo pero sí de brazos caídos o de puños flojos. Decimos no de desistimiento porque según el jefe de nuestra diplomacia la meta última de lo que se está haciendo es recuperar la soberanía española sobre Gibraltar pero en unas nuevas coordenadas.

En el nuevo marco el aislamiento se cambia por la cooperación, la presión se cambia por el diálogo; y manda, fundamentalmente, el pragmatismo y el posibilismo, el no tocarle demasiado las narices ni a los británicos ni a los gibraltareños. Hay que ir, por lo tanto, paso a paso, sin levantar polvaredas innecesarias. ¿300 años de resistencia para esto?

Obama’s Plans Have Consequences… What About ZP?

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Iraq War is not Over… yet

untitledEven though American troops have now pulled out of all cities in Iraq and still are on schedule to be completely withdrawn by the end of 2011, 64% of U.S. voters do not believe the war in Iraq is over.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 16% think the war begun in March 2003 is now at an end. One-in-five voters (20%) are not sure.

Eighty-one percent (81%) of voters nationwide say it is at least somewhat likely that Iraqi cities will become more violent now that U.S. troops have been withdrawn. Forty-four percent (44%) say it is very likely. Only 12% say increased violence is not likely.

However, if the violence comes, Americans want the United States to stay out of it. Just 17% say U.S. troops should be sent back into the cities but 68% say the Iraqis should be left to deal with it on their own. Fifteen percent (15%) are not sure.

Republicans are more likely to believe Iraqi cities will become more violent, but Democrats are far more emphatic than Republicans and voters not affiliated with either party that the Iraqis should deal with the problem. 

Voters are almost evenly divided over whether all U.S. troops will be withdrawn from Iraq by the end of 2011 as is planned. Forty-eight percent (48%) are at least somewhat confident that the withdrawal will take place as scheduled, with 15% very confident. Forty-six percent (46%) are not confident the withdrawal will happen as scheduled, with 32% not very confident and 14% not at all confident.

Democrats are much more confident than Republicans and unaffiliated voters that the withdrawal will take place by the end of 2011. Sixty-three percent (63%) of the Political Class are very confident that the troop withdrawal will happen on schedule, compared to 11% of Mainstream Americans.

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of voters expect the situation in Iraq to get better over the next six months, while 25% say it will get worse. Twenty-four percent (24%) think it will stay the same. Voter confidence about Iraq is lower than it has been in nearly a year.

Two-thirds of voters (66%) say it is at leas somewhat likely that Obama will bring all combat troops home from iraq before the end of his first term in 2012, with 27% who say it is very likely. Fifty-nine percent (59%) say getting the troops home is more important to Obama than finishing the mission in Iraq.

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